Bitcoin (BTC) may score a new all-time high in 2022, just the odds are that it won't happen side by side calendar month.

Historical price data confirms that September tends to see BTC price losses — and its best-ever returns are notwithstanding single figures.

September 2022 looks like a archetype for BTC

As Bitcoin matures, information technology becomes more than noticeable that BTC/USD behaves in similar ways during the same month each yr.

Q4 is the clear standout for top performance, especially in the twelvemonth post-obit a block subsidy halving. By contrast, January tends to exist bearish — although this year was a conspicuous exception to the rule.

Turning to September, however, and the picture is uninspiring for investors. Summer may be over, but historically, next month has never seen Bitcoin increase by more than 6%.

"Bitcoin doesn't like September at all," Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe commented this calendar week.

"Are we going to repeat and have a corrective month across markets, before the continuation of balderdash cycle?"
BTC/USD historical returns chart. Source: Bybt

Better luck in Q4?

September is already tipped to evangelize a slightly lower price zone than August, something that PlanB, creator of the stock-to-catamenia Bitcoin price models, said is merely a information technicality.

Related: Is the time right for $50K BTC? 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this calendar week

Bitcoiners may not demand to smile and conduct it for long, withal, as October tends to deliver much more disarming momentum.

Even so for the meantime, information technology seems that a retest of all-fourth dimension highs will need to wait. At the time of writing, BTC/USD traded at $47,600, having lost effectually i.6% in the past 24 hours.

BTC/USD 1-60 minutes candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView